Leer en Español Centre-right Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa secured a decisive re-election victory in the 13 April runoff vote, defeating leftist Revolución Ciudadana (RC) candidate Luisa González with 56% of the vote. The margin of victory significantly exceeded poll projections, signaling widespread public support for Noboa’s security-focused and market-oriented platform. Below is an analysis of The post Daniel Noboa Re-elected in Ecuador – What’s Next for the Economy? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Leer en Español U.S. tariffs reaching the highest level since 1930. The sharpest stock market crash since the pandemic. Government bond yields spiking and threatening a financial crisis. All in all, last week was not for the fragile-hearted. The U.S. has come perilously close to smashing the world trade order that it spent years constructing.  The post Trump’s tariffs: How are economists’ forecasts changing? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

In our latest insight piece, we look at the economic outlook for China’s economy for the coming years. The post China’s Economic Outlook for 2025 and Beyond appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Leer en Español CENAM to outperform Latin America, again: Our Consensus is for Central America and the Caribbean (CENAM)’s economy to expand more quickly than Latin America’s for the 13th time in 14 years in 2025. Private spending and fixed investment are projected to grow more quickly in CENAM, buoyed by lower inflation and interest The post The Economic Outlook for CENAM in 2025: Trouble in Paradise?  appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Over three years after Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the economic landscape in both countries has transformed. With an end to the conflict finally in sight, we examine the potential outcomes of peace negotiations and their implications for Russia’s and Ukraine’s economic outlook.   The Ukraine War Three Years In  Recent economic data The post The Art of Peace: The Economics of Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Talks appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Leer en Español Region-beating GDP growth: Our Consensus is for India’s economic growth to top 6% annually for the remainder of this decade, putting the country among the fastest-growing economies in Asia—and the world. By 2028, India should be the world’s third-largest economy, behind the U.S. and China but ahead of Germany and Japan. That The post What is India’s economic outlook for the coming years?  appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Global debt has climbed at an eye-watering pace over the last decade. According to the International Monetary Fund, global debt climbed to 225% of global GDP in 2017. That’s 12 percentage points higher than the previous record level set in 2009, during the Global Financial Crisis, and many have pointed toward the global debt pile-up, particularly public debt, as the potential culprit for the next global financial crisis The post Which Countries Have the Highest Public Debt Levels in the World? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

In this in-depth interview, Dennis Shen, Chair of the Macroeconomic Council at Scope, explores the evolving landscape of African debt, China-Africa relations and the challenges surrounding debt restructuring on the continent. Dennis provides a detailed analysis of how global economic trends, geopolitical shifts, and multilateral frameworks are influencing Africa’s public debt trajectory. He also shares The post FocusEconomics Awards Interview – Dennis Shen, Chair of the Macroeconomic Council (Scope Ratings) appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

Leer en Español Tariff threat distorts global trade and investment: So far, the U.S. president’s bark has been worse than his bite. Since taking office in January he has threatened to implement blanket tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico, impose reciprocal tariffs on the rest of the world, threatened to penalize foreign nations that impose The post Trump’s first month: What are the economic implications? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more

By Guest Author: Professor Arthur S. Guarino, MBA, MSSc, JD, Rutgers University The post Understanding the Implications of Trade Protectionism for the Economy appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more