Have a read of our latest blog post on which economies our panelists expect to be the world’s largest in 2028. Spoiler alert: One emerging market in particular is expected to make substantial gains. The post The Top 10 Largest Economies in the World in 2025 appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español Tougher trade policy: Trump has floated the idea of a 10.0–20.0% baseline tariff on all imports. If realized, this would thump the more U.S.-dependent Latin American economies—particularly Mexico and Central America. In addition, Trump is likely to attempt to renegotiate the USMCA trade agreement when it comes up for review in 2026. The post What could Trump’s election victory mean for Latin America? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español The upcoming U.S. presidential elections on 5 November could mark a significant change in both the domestic and international economy, with current vice president Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump offering wildly contrasting policy proposals. In a mid-October survey, we asked 17 of our expert analysts what their views are on The post 2024 U.S. Elections: The Economic Impact under Harris vs Trump appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español Crude prices have whipsawed in recent months, rising and falling by over USD 10 per barrel in just a few weeks. In the gas market, trader activity has been similarly frenetic. In our latest insight piece, we ask our energy economist Matthew Cunningham about the latest trends blowing the oil- and gas-market The post What’s in Store for the Oil and Gas Markets in Q4? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
GDP per capita is considered an important measure for comparing the degree of poverty or wealth of countries with each other. In this article, we examine our GDP per capita forecasts for the more than 190 economies we cover to see which are projected to be the five poorest countries in the world at the end of our forecast horizon of 2026. The forecasts used in this article are consensus forecasts based on the individual forecasts of more than 1,000 world-renowned investment banks, economic think tanks and professional economic forecasting firms. The post Top 20 Poorest Countries in the World in 2025 appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español In 2024, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE joined the BRICS. As a result, the bloc now makes up nearly a third of the world’s GDP at market prices in USD. To dive deeper into the long-term outlook of the bloc as a whole and of each individual country, you can The post What is the long-term economic outlook for the BRICS? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español Since Joe Biden bowed out of the presidential campaign in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris on 22 July, polls have shown a narrowing of the gap in voting intentions between Harris and Donald Trump. However, Trump still has a strong chance of clinching the presidency in the November elections. So what are The post What are Trump’s economic plans? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español Growth leaders: Our Consensus is for the South Asian economies of Bangladesh and India, plus Mongolia in East Asia, to be among the world’s fastest-growing economies over our forecast horizon to 2028, with expansions above 6% per annum. Favorable demographics, an expanding middle class, burgeoning manufacturing sectors, and—in the case of Mongolia—mining The post East & South Asia: Our analysts’ outlook for the emerging region appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
Leer en Español What caused the sell off? From Wednesday 31 July to Monday 5 August, the S&P 500—the primary U.S. stock index—fell by around 6%. The selloff was driven by a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, which showed a slump in payroll gains and a rise in unemployment. This fed into other warning signs such as The post Should we be worried about the recent stock market decline? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
In our latest insight piece we look at our analysts’ forecasts for South Africa’s economy The post Can South Africa’s new government drag the country out of its economic rut? appeared first on FocusEconomics. read more
